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Growth of private lending: alternative lenders fill the banking gap

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Growth of Private Lending: How Alternative Creditors Are Filling the Global Banking Gap

Private Credit has surpassed $2 trillion, and tokenization is turning illiquid debt into a tradable asset. How alternative creditors are filling the banking gap — and why the secondary market changes everything.

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Robert ShilerHead of the Analytics Group

By mid-2026, the capitalization of the global Private Credit market exceeded $2 trillion, according to Moody's estimates. Financial Stability Board data records a corridor of $1.5–2 trillion, confirming a structural shift in the architecture of corporate debt.

The era of cheap bank funding is over. Increased regulatory pressure has forced TradFi institutions to curtail activity in the Mid-Market segment, provoking a critical Funding Gap.

Banks are massively refusing to underwrite mid-sized companies, tightening compliance and capital requirements. Traditional liquidity provision mechanisms have ceased to cope with borrower demands.

Alternative creditors are actively entering the vacated field. Unlike rigid bank covenants, private funds offer flexible deal structures, including syndicated loans with customized terms.

In parallel, institutional capital is migrating to RWA platforms that tokenize debt obligations. Traditional intermediation is losing ground, giving way to direct access to credit liquidity.

Regulatory Pressure and Banking Retreat: Why TradFi Is Leaving

The key problem for TradFi today is excessive regulation, which stifles operational flexibility. Every credit committee decision becomes entangled in multilayer approvals and compliance procedures, turning a deal into a bureaucratic labyrinth lasting for months.

For example, the tightening of capital standards under Basel III Endgame or CRR III critically increased the cost of owning credit portfolios. Basel III Endgame (CRR III in the EU) radically recalibrated risk coefficients for corporate portfolios. As a result, banks are forced to reserve significantly more capital against corporate loans.

It has become unprofitable for banks to hold such loans on their balance sheets. The yield on them no longer covers the cost of money, capital, and risks, so each such deal worsens the bank's overall profitability. Because of this, credit committees have tightened selection: applications from borrowers weaker than BBB- are more often rejected or not brought to closing.

The result is a mass asset sell-off and refusal to participate in traditional credit lines. Institutions convert risky loans into liquid securities, seeking to optimize Capital Adequacy Ratios (CAR) and avoid regulatory penalties for insufficient reserving.

In the conditions of 2026, it is more profitable for TradFi to park excess liquidity in sovereign bonds or short-term money market instruments. Servicing mid-sized businesses requires active covenant management and monitoring of risk metrics, which under current regulatory pressure becomes unprofitable.

The Era of Private Credit (Direct Lending): Drivers of Expansion

The tightening of regulatory standards and the subsequent withdrawal of commercial banks from the segment of financing mid-sized and high-risk companies became the main reason for the rapid growth of the direct lending market. Within TradFi, there exist mechanisms of private lending:

Private equity funds — accumulating pension reserves and insurance premiums. Their goal is to earn returns above bond yields, tied to floating indices, through a premium for assumed risk.

Family Offices — act as "patient capital," providing loans without margin call requirements, focusing on cash flow rather than collateral liquidity.

Hedge funds with credit strategies — specialize in distressed debt and non-standard situations, where creditworthiness assessment is built on deep knowledge of a specific business rather than formal rating scores.

Unlike bank consortia, shackled by internal regulations and the need to account for macroeconomic risks, direct lending funds build relationships with borrowers in the format of live negotiations.

Individual covenants. In direct lending, terms are not replicated but designed for the company's operating cycle: deferrals with interest capitalization, soft restrictions (triggering only upon significant deviations), and individual control points.

Speed of decision-making. Multi-stage credit committees of classical banks give way to the fund's investment committee, authorized to render a final verdict. While in syndicated lending a deal drags from three months to six months, here timelines compress to four to six weeks.

Privacy and absence of market risks. A direct loan relieves the company of the need to bring deal terms to an open placement among numerous banks, and therefore from the risk of placement failure due to shifting market sentiment.

Tokenization (RWA) as a Technological Upgrade of Private Debt

The next technological step is private lending using tokenization. Tokenization of real assets here is not a replacement for private lending but its technological superstructure. It preserves all the advantages of direct loans (individual terms, speed, privacy) while removing the systemic limitations inherent in the classical model.

Overcoming Illiquidity

Tokenization of RWA removes the basic flaw of private lending in TradFi — illiquidity. An investor cannot exit a position before obligations are repaid or a stipulated event occurs.

Tokenization removes this limitation: the debt claim is recorded in a digital token, which allows for fractionalization, transfer, and accounting without the participation of registrars and depositories. The blockchain ensures the immutability of records on the principal balance, accrued interest, and covenant status, turning a previously illiquid instrument into a marginable one.

According to Stablecoin Insider platform data, the volume of open positions in tokenized private lending reached $14 billion. This indicator brought the segment to first place among all non-treasury directions, cementing its status as the largest category in this niche.

On-Chain Syndication

Distributed ledger technology changes the very mechanics of syndication. For example, instead of a narrow circle of participants, a large corporate loan can be broken down into tranches, debt servicing parameters fixed in smart contracts, and risk distributed among a broad pool of institutional investors.

For the creditor, this reduces operational costs and accelerates settlements; for the borrower, it expands the capital base beyond the bank syndicate and a limited circle of specialized funds.

Secondary Market

The emergence of exchange and over-the-counter venues for trading tokenized debt obligations forms a full-fledged secondary market. The token holder gains the ability to exit a position before maturity at the current market price, which reflects the issuer's credit quality and macroeconomic conditions.

The liquidity of such a market directly depends on the transparency of on-chain data: the borrower's credit history, frequency of service payments, and covenant compliance are verified by participants in real time without requests to the issuer. As a result, private debt ceases to be a relationship between two parties and turns into a tradable financial instrument with predictable price dynamics.

Comparative Table: Banks vs Traditional Private Credit vs Tokenized Debt
CriterionClassical Bank LoanTradFi Private CreditOn-Chain Lending Pool (RWA)
Speed of capital disbursementSlow: multi-stage committees, compliance, syndication; closing often takes months.4–6 weeks (fund investment committee with final decision authority)1–2 weeks (smart contracts automate underwriting and distribution)
Flexibility of terms (covenants)Rigid standard templates tied to ratings and formal metricsIndividual design for the operating cycle: deferrals, interest capitalization, soft restrictionsProgrammable terms: automatic execution of covenants via smart contracts, flexible trigger configuration
Collateral requirementsHigh and formalized: banks rely more heavily on collateral, ratings, and regulatory filters.Medium: collateral matters, but the key role is played by cash flow quality and the borrower's negotiating power.Modular — collateral can be represented as tokenized assets, providing transparent real-time valuation
Secondary liquidity for the investorAbsent — the loan is held on the bank's balance sheet until maturityAbsent — capital is frozen until obligations are repaid or a stipulated event occursPresent — tradable tokens on exchange and over-the-counter venues, exit before maturity at market price
Transparency (audit)Closed — disclosure limited to regulators and internal controlPartial — data access only for the creditor and borrower, verification requires requestsHigh — credit history, service payments, and covenant status are verified by participants on-chain without intermediaries

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the growth of direct lending mean that alternative creditors are lending money to companies with poor credit ratings?

No. What is assessed is not the rating but the cash flow and viability of the business model. Formal scorings give way to deep analysis of the specific company.

How is transparency ensured in tokenized credit pools?

Through smart contracts and decentralized oracles. Payment status, debt balance, and collateral state are displayed on the blockchain in real time for all participants.

Can small and medium-sized businesses count on raising funds through a direct loan?

Yes. Banks consider such deals unprofitable due to high verification costs. Direct lending funds, by contrast, specialize in SMEs: they are ready to delve into the specifics of the business and structure terms for the specific borrower.

How exactly does tokenization solve the problem of illiquidity of private debt?

The debt claim is recorded in a digital token, which can be fractionalized, transferred, and accounted for without registrars and depositories. The blockchain ensures the immutability of records on payments and collateral status. As a result, the investor gains the ability to exit the position before maturity through secondary venues, rather than waiting for the deal term to end.

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